Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-09-14 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010 0.000012
2025-09-21 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-09-28 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017
2025-10-05 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020
2025-10-12 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000015 0.000024
2025-10-19 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000028
2025-10-26 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-11-02 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000020 0.000039
2025-11-09 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000046
2025-11-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000023 0.000051
2025-11-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000058
2025-11-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000068
2025-12-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000076
2025-12-14 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000087
2025-12-21 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000099
2025-12-28 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000035 0.000120
2026-01-04 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000039 0.000151
2026-01-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000042 0.000175
2026-01-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000220
2026-01-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000050 0.000268
2026-02-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000055 0.000336
2026-02-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000057 0.000376